TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolai Barsukov and Alibek Kachmazov in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Alibek Kachmazov. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Nikolai Barsukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolai Barsukov and Alibek Kachmazov in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Alibek Kachmazov. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Nikolai Barsukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of its users regarding the result of the Barsukov vs Kachmazov match.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Barsukov vs Kachmazov match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. News regarding the fighters' training status, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might cause the market to adjust. Finally, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability.