TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 12:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Minghui Zhang and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Minghui Zhang' if Minghui Zhang advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Minghui Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Minghui Zhang and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Minghui Zhang' if Minghui Zhang advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Minghui Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own research. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the M25 Guiyang match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also impact the market. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause significant price movements as traders reassess the probabilities.