TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 12:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leo Borg and Maxim Shin in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leo Borg' if Leo Borg advances against Maxim Shin. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Leo Borg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leo Borg and Maxim Shin in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leo Borg' if Leo Borg advances against Maxim Shin. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Leo Borg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading their opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or unexpected developments than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions shift. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guiyang tennis match between Leo Borg and Maxim Shin, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match. This ensures a fair and reliable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also be catalysts. Public sentiment, reflected in pre-match analysis from tennis experts and media coverage, can also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks could draw attention and impact trading volume on Polymarket, potentially leading to price adjustments.