TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lachlan Vickery and Alejandro Dure in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lachlan Vickery' if Lachlan Vickery advances against Alejandro Dure. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Dure' if Alejandro Dure advances against Lachlan Vickery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lachlan Vickery and Alejandro Dure in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lachlan Vickery' if Lachlan Vickery advances against Alejandro Dure. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Dure' if Alejandro Dure advances against Lachlan Vickery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analyses, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to developments. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of its likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand—the more traders who believe a certain result will happen, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective forecast of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lachlan Vickery versus Alejandro Dure match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of an injury to either Lachlan Vickery or Alejandro Dure would likely impact the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one could also influence traders’ beliefs. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one player’s style, could contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.