TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 2:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Nino Ehrenschneider in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai-i Wang' if Kai-i Wang advances against Nino Ehrenschneider. This market will resolve to 'Nino Ehrenschneider' if Nino Ehrenschneider advances against Kai-i Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Nino Ehrenschneider in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai-i Wang' if Kai-i Wang advances against Nino Ehrenschneider. This market will resolve to 'Nino Ehrenschneider' if Nino Ehrenschneider advances against Kai-i Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kai-i Wang vs Nino Ehrenschneider match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Kai-i Wang or Nino Ehrenschneider could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments might also shift perceptions of their relative strengths. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, driving increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.