TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Dorokhov and CHIN KUAN LAI in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dorokhov' if Ivan Dorokhov advances against CHIN KUAN LAI. This market will resolve to 'CHIN KUAN LAI' if CHIN KUAN LAI advances against Ivan Dorokhov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Dorokhov and CHIN KUAN LAI in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dorokhov' if Ivan Dorokhov advances against CHIN KUAN LAI. This market will resolve to 'CHIN KUAN LAI' if CHIN KUAN LAI advances against Ivan Dorokhov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dorokhov vs. Lai match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. As more traders buy shares believing in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match between Ivan Dorokhov and CHIN KUAN LAI. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 21, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or any significant updates about the match itself could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to either player’s form or strategy could also trigger shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could signal new information or changing sentiment, potentially leading to significant price movements in this market.