TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Markelov and Xiuyuan Ye in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Markelov' if Artem Markelov advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against Artem Markelov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Markelov and Xiuyuan Ye in the M25 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Markelov' if Artem Markelov advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against Artem Markelov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potential informational advantages. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially as new developments emerge before the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, adjusting rapidly to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Markelov vs Ye match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M25 Guiyang match between Artem Markelov and Xiuyuan Ye. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, broader shifts in public sentiment or the emergence of new information from analysts could all contribute to changes in the market price leading up to Sep 21, 2026.