TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 1:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Qian Sun in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Qian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Qian Sun in the M25 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Qian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain outcome in the Alibek Kachmazov vs Qian Sun match, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to price discovery and potentially reveal different perspectives on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Alibek Kachmazov vs Qian Sun match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alibek Kachmazov vs Qian Sun match, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source for sports results. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome based on their share holdings at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Alibek Kachmazov or Qian Sun, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in rankings, recent performance in other matches, or even pre-match analysis from respected commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or location might also cause movement in this market as traders adjust their expectations.