TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan McCormick and Xavi Palomar in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Xavi Palomar. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Tristan McCormick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan McCormick and Xavi Palomar in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Xavi Palomar. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Tristan McCormick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result of the McCormick vs Palomar match. It’s a way to see what the crowd thinks.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Gijon match between Tristan McCormick and Xavi Palomar. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market. It's important to monitor news leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Tristan McCormick or Xavi Palomar, or changes in their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or tournament rules could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket itself can influence the price, reflecting shifts in market sentiment. Monitoring sports news and keeping an eye on trading volume will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Sep 16, 2026.