TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 1:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, and the influence of public sentiment. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on market inefficiencies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing opinions. The current market reflects the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket regarding the Nijboer vs De Felipe Garcia match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Gijon tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Samuel De Felipe Garcia, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either player, or even their opponents, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a clear winner could drive trading volume and price movements in this market. Monitoring tennis news and expert opinions will be key to understanding potential catalysts.