TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Richard Zusman and Alex Martinez Sanz in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Richard Zusman' if Richard Zusman advances against Alex Martinez Sanz. This market will resolve to 'Alex Martinez Sanz' if Alex Martinez Sanz advances against Richard Zusman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Richard Zusman and Alex Martinez Sanz in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Richard Zusman' if Richard Zusman advances against Alex Martinez Sanz. This market will resolve to 'Alex Martinez Sanz' if Alex Martinez Sanz advances against Richard Zusman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing promotions or biases into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. If a significant difference exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds represent the probability of an outcome as perceived by traders on Polymarket, not a definitive prediction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome – in this case, either Richard Zusman or Alex Martinez Sanz winning the Gijon tennis match. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express and quantify their predictions. The market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions are incorporated through trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gijon tennis match between Richard Zusman and Alex Martinez Sanz, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, a report of an injury to Alex Martinez Sanz would likely increase the probability of Richard Zusman winning, driving up the price of shares representing that outcome. Additionally, expert analysis or updated betting odds from sportsbooks could also impact trading behavior. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also be a catalyst for movement.