TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Ortega Redondo and Luke Bollinger in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Ortega Redondo' if Miguel Ortega Redondo advances against Luke Bollinger. This market will resolve to 'Luke Bollinger' if Luke Bollinger advances against Miguel Ortega Redondo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Ortega Redondo and Luke Bollinger in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Ortega Redondo' if Miguel Ortega Redondo advances against Luke Bollinger. This market will resolve to 'Luke Bollinger' if Luke Bollinger advances against Miguel Ortega Redondo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This creates a constantly updating forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Gijon tennis match between Miguel Ortega Redondo and Luke Bollinger. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, major endorsements or statements from tennis analysts could sway the market. Monitoring these signals and how they affect trading volume on Polymarket can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.