TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 8:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Toprak Avcibasi in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michiel De Krom' if Michiel De Krom advances against Toprak Avcibasi. This market will resolve to 'Toprak Avcibasi' if Toprak Avcibasi advances against Michiel De Krom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Toprak Avcibasi in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michiel De Krom' if Michiel De Krom advances against Toprak Avcibasi. This market will resolve to 'Toprak Avcibasi' if Toprak Avcibasi advances against Michiel De Krom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the true outcome more efficiently than traditional betting markets.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gijon tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Toprak Avcibasi, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the outcome of this market. Any potential protests or disputes will be resolved according to the official tournament rules and regulations.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or even updates on player form and recent performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, might lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.