TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Aguiar Johansson and Pierluigi Basile in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Aguiar Johansson' if David Aguiar Johansson advances against Pierluigi Basile. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against David Aguiar Johansson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Aguiar Johansson and Pierluigi Basile in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Aguiar Johansson' if David Aguiar Johansson advances against Pierluigi Basile. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against David Aguiar Johansson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Gijon match between David Aguiar Johansson and Pierluigi Basile. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.