TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 8:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amaan Siddiqui and Vicente Alcaraz Galbis in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amaan Siddiqui' if Amaan Siddiqui advances against Vicente Alcaraz Galbis. This market will resolve to 'Vicente Alcaraz Galbis' if Vicente Alcaraz Galbis advances against Amaan Siddiqui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amaan Siddiqui and Vicente Alcaraz Galbis in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amaan Siddiqui' if Amaan Siddiqui advances against Vicente Alcaraz Galbis. This market will resolve to 'Vicente Alcaraz Galbis' if Vicente Alcaraz Galbis advances against Amaan Siddiqui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust more quickly to news than traditional betting venues, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Amaan Siddiqui vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis match in Gijon, specifically whether Amaan Siddiqui wins or Vicente Alcaraz Galbis wins. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner and finalize the market. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the qualifying rounds might also impact perceptions of the players’ overall chances. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, even if not directly related to these players, could sway opinions and affect trading volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.