TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Cracana Cracana and Aaron Paul Samson in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Cracana Cracana' if Alex Cracana Cracana advances against Aaron Paul Samson. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Paul Samson' if Aaron Paul Samson advances against Alex Cracana Cracana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Cracana Cracana and Aaron Paul Samson in the M25 Gijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Cracana Cracana' if Alex Cracana Cracana advances against Aaron Paul Samson. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Paul Samson' if Aaron Paul Samson advances against Alex Cracana Cracana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cracana vs Samson match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cracana vs Samson match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and fair settlement of the market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of either athlete winning. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public sentiment surrounding the Cracana vs Samson match could all contribute to price movements before Sep 13, 2026.