TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Ivan Lopez Martos in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Ivan Lopez Martos. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Lopez Martos' if Ivan Lopez Martos advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Ivan Lopez Martos in the M25 Gijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Ivan Lopez Martos. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Lopez Martos' if Ivan Lopez Martos advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in situations with limited public data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Garcia Carbajal vs Lopez Martos match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each result. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all market participants, creating a constantly updated forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Gijon match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Ivan Lopez Martos. The platform will verify the result against established tennis authorities and publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis of each player’s head-to-head record, could also drive price movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment can all contribute to changes in the odds for the Garcia Carbajal vs Lopez Martos match.