TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Banerjee and Henry Bernet in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Banerjee' if Samir Banerjee advances against Henry Bernet. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bernet' if Henry Bernet advances against Samir Banerjee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Banerjee and Henry Bernet in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Banerjee' if Samir Banerjee advances against Henry Bernet. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bernet' if Henry Bernet advances against Samir Banerjee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, especially for events with subjective elements or where public opinion strongly deviates from expert forecasts. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom regarding the Falun M25 tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Falun M25 tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the combined judgment of all participants, and changes in price indicate shifts in expectations. Higher volume generally suggests greater confidence in the current price, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Falun M25 tennis match between Samir Banerjee and Henry Bernet. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The final price of the shares will reflect the actual outcome of the match, allowing traders to realize their gains or losses based on their predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders’ actions on Polymarket.