TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Wright and Erik Gahnstrom in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wright' if Michael Wright advances against Erik Gahnstrom. This market will resolve to 'Erik Gahnstrom' if Erik Gahnstrom advances against Michael Wright. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Wright and Erik Gahnstrom in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wright' if Michael Wright advances against Erik Gahnstrom. This market will resolve to 'Erik Gahnstrom' if Erik Gahnstrom advances against Michael Wright. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Falun snowmobile race. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each racer winning, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, offering a real-time assessment of the race's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Falun snowmobile race will be used to determine the winning racer. Resolution will depend on the official finishing order published by race organizers, and the market will settle to 100% probability for the winning racer. Traders should monitor official sources for the race results to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding racer injuries, mechanical issues with their snowmobiles, or changes in weather conditions at the Falun track could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about racer strategies or team changes might also impact the odds. Furthermore, any updates from credible sources regarding racer performance in practice runs or qualifying events could lead to adjustments in the market, as traders react to the latest information available.