TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Stromberg and Erik Gahnstrom in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Stromberg' if Max Stromberg advances against Erik Gahnstrom. This market will resolve to 'Erik Gahnstrom' if Erik Gahnstrom advances against Max Stromberg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Stromberg and Erik Gahnstrom in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Stromberg' if Max Stromberg advances against Erik Gahnstrom. This market will resolve to 'Erik Gahnstrom' if Erik Gahnstrom advances against Max Stromberg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe a rider will win, the price of shares representing that rider will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Falun MX race are verifiable from credible public reporting. The rider who is officially declared the winner of the race by the governing body will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on the official standings and any subsequent rulings or appeals that may affect the final result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket once the event is finalized.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding rider injuries, mechanical issues with their bikes, or changes in weather conditions at the Falun track could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about rider strategies or team changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on track conditions or competitor performance in practice sessions are likely to move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.