TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenzo Koistila larsson and Romeo Elfving in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenzo Koistila larsson' if Kenzo Koistila larsson advances against Romeo Elfving. This market will resolve to 'Romeo Elfving' if Romeo Elfving advances against Kenzo Koistila larsson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenzo Koistila larsson and Romeo Elfving in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenzo Koistila larsson' if Kenzo Koistila larsson advances against Romeo Elfving. This market will resolve to 'Romeo Elfving' if Romeo Elfving advances against Kenzo Koistila larsson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly in events where there's a strong narrative or information asymmetry. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities, though sportsbook odds still provide a valuable benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Falun M25 race, determining which competitor achieved the highest placement. The platform will verify the results against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of either competitor could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day, or changes to the race course, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any public statements from trainers or team members, or even shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, could trigger adjustments in this market as traders react to new information and reassess their positions.