TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Espegren and Sizya Ernest Kivanda in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Espegren' if Filip Espegren advances against Sizya Ernest Kivanda. This market will resolve to 'Sizya Ernest Kivanda' if Sizya Ernest Kivanda advances against Filip Espegren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Espegren and Sizya Ernest Kivanda in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Espegren' if Filip Espegren advances against Sizya Ernest Kivanda. This market will resolve to 'Sizya Ernest Kivanda' if Sizya Ernest Kivanda advances against Filip Espegren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a fighter, that sentiment can be expressed through trading activity here. This can lead to odds discrepancies, as prediction markets sometimes incorporate information and analysis not fully reflected in sportsbook lines. It's a fascinating way to gauge alternative viewpoints on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Falun boxing match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the fighters.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Filip Espegren and Sizya Ernest Kivanda. The platform will look to established sports news outlets and official boxing records to determine the winner. Any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-fight interviews or expert analysis, could also shift the odds. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes to the fight rules or venue, could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning is likely to be reflected in the market price.