TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 2:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eero Vasa and Samir Banerjee in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eero Vasa' if Eero Vasa advances against Samir Banerjee. This market will resolve to 'Samir Banerjee' if Samir Banerjee advances against Eero Vasa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eero Vasa and Samir Banerjee in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eero Vasa' if Eero Vasa advances against Samir Banerjee. This market will resolve to 'Samir Banerjee' if Samir Banerjee advances against Eero Vasa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public opinion than sportsbooks, which may adjust their odds less frequently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive prediction of the Falun tennis match's result.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Eero Vasa versus Samir Banerjee match in Falun. The platform will verify the winner through publicly available sources like official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by the official match result, and the market will settle accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner of the Falun tennis match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could significantly shift expectations. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts, updates on player form, and even social media sentiment could also play a role. A strong performance by either Eero Vasa or Samir Banerjee in a preceding match would likely cause a shift in the odds, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.