TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Drew Van Orderlain and Kenzo Koistila larsson in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drew Van Orderlain' if Drew Van Orderlain advances against Kenzo Koistila larsson. This market will resolve to 'Kenzo Koistila larsson' if Kenzo Koistila larsson advances against Drew Van Orderlain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Drew Van Orderlain and Kenzo Koistila larsson in the M25 Falun, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drew Van Orderlain' if Drew Van Orderlain advances against Kenzo Koistila larsson. This market will resolve to 'Kenzo Koistila larsson' if Kenzo Koistila larsson advances against Drew Van Orderlain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Falun M25 race, determining which competitor achieved the fastest time. The platform will rely on publicly available data to verify the results and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official race results to understand how this market will be settled. The final result will determine which shares pay out and at what rate.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of Drew Van Orderlain or Kenzo Koistila larsson would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also impact the perceived chances of each competitor, especially if one racer is known to perform better in certain conditions. Finally, any late changes to the race schedule or course could introduce uncertainty and volatility into this market, prompting traders to reassess their positions.