TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Maximus Muller in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Maximus Muller. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Muller' if Maximus Muller advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Maximus Muller in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Maximus Muller. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Muller' if Maximus Muller advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in Alex Kobelt, for example, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence in his victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Falun motocross race will be used to determine the winner, and this will be reflected in the market’s final settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution. The market will close and settle shortly after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the condition or performance of either Alex Kobelt or Maximus Muller – such as injuries, practice times, or equipment changes – could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions at the Falun track on race day will also be a key factor, as they can heavily impact rider performance. Finally, any major upsets in qualifying rounds or other preliminary events could lead to a reassessment of each rider’s chances.