TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Storch and Aidan Chan in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Storch' if Stefan Storch advances against Aidan Chan. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Chan' if Aidan Chan advances against Stefan Storch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Storch and Aidan Chan in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Storch' if Stefan Storch advances against Aidan Chan. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Chan' if Aidan Chan advances against Stefan Storch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, allowing the collective intelligence to converge on a reasonable probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Darwin match between Stefan Storch and Aidan Chan. The platform will look to established sources to verify the winner of the match, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor public sources for updates as the event approaches to understand the potential resolution timeline and ensure a smooth settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the resolution date. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, may cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.