TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicholas Jovanovski and Ethan Domingo in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Jovanovski' if Nicholas Jovanovski advances against Ethan Domingo. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Domingo' if Ethan Domingo advances against Nicholas Jovanovski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicholas Jovanovski and Ethan Domingo in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Jovanovski' if Nicholas Jovanovski advances against Ethan Domingo. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Domingo' if Ethan Domingo advances against Nicholas Jovanovski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast for the Darwin M25 match. This differs from static odds offered by traditional bookmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darwin M25 match between Nicholas Jovanovski and Ethan Domingo. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to one share per unit, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or matches involving these players could impact confidence in their performance. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators, as well as social media discussions, may also contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.