TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lachlan Vickery and Eric Padgham in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lachlan Vickery' if Lachlan Vickery advances against Eric Padgham. This market will resolve to 'Eric Padgham' if Eric Padgham advances against Lachlan Vickery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lachlan Vickery and Eric Padgham in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lachlan Vickery' if Lachlan Vickery advances against Eric Padgham. This market will resolve to 'Eric Padgham' if Eric Padgham advances against Lachlan Vickery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the M25 Darwin match between Lachlan Vickery and Eric Padgham.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Darwin match between Lachlan Vickery and Eric Padgham. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. It is important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the form or fitness of Lachlan Vickery or Eric Padgham, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly impact sentiment. Changes in public perception or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected developments related to the match itself, such as venue changes or weather conditions, could also contribute to market movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before Oct 5, 2026.