TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kuma Ito and Flynn Coventry-Searle in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kuma Ito' if Kuma Ito advances against Flynn Coventry-Searle. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Coventry-Searle' if Flynn Coventry-Searle advances against Kuma Ito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kuma Ito and Flynn Coventry-Searle in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kuma Ito' if Kuma Ito advances against Flynn Coventry-Searle. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Coventry-Searle' if Flynn Coventry-Searle advances against Kuma Ito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M25 Darwin fight. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by new information, changes in sentiment, and the actions of other traders. As more shares are traded, the price converges towards a perceived fair value, representing the probability of each outcome as assessed by the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M25 Darwin fight, as declared by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes in their preparation could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis of their fighting styles and match-up advantages, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in venue or rules, could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning will likely move the market.