TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Alex Bulte in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emmanuel Valsamis' if Emmanuel Valsamis advances against Alex Bulte. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bulte' if Alex Bulte advances against Emmanuel Valsamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Alex Bulte in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emmanuel Valsamis' if Emmanuel Valsamis advances against Alex Bulte. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bulte' if Alex Bulte advances against Emmanuel Valsamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share representing the outcome of the Darwin M25 match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darwin M25 match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Alex Bulte. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale shifts in public opinion could trigger price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.