TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitri Bagaric and Radu Cojocaru in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Radu Cojocaru. This market will resolve to 'Radu Cojocaru' if Radu Cojocaru advances against Dimitri Bagaric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitri Bagaric and Radu Cojocaru in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Radu Cojocaru. This market will resolve to 'Radu Cojocaru' if Radu Cojocaru advances against Dimitri Bagaric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that differ from those found at sportsbooks. This difference can arise from unique insights held by market participants or a faster reaction to new information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Darwin boxing match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each fighter winning, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Dimitri Bagaric will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Radu Cojocaru. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Dimitri Bagaric and Radu Cojocaru. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official boxing records to determine the winner of the Darwin boxing match and settle the market accordingly. The outcome will be determined by the official decision made in the ring.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight’s location or rules could also impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, as can any late-breaking analysis from boxing experts. Shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also influence traders on Polymarket.