TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alec Braund and Ryuichiro Nakano in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alec Braund' if Alec Braund advances against Ryuichiro Nakano. This market will resolve to 'Ryuichiro Nakano' if Ryuichiro Nakano advances against Alec Braund. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alec Braund and Ryuichiro Nakano in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alec Braund' if Alec Braund advances against Ryuichiro Nakano. This market will resolve to 'Ryuichiro Nakano' if Ryuichiro Nakano advances against Alec Braund. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular result in the Darwin M25 matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Darwin competition between Alec Braund and Ryuichiro Nakano. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the final payout for this market. Traders should monitor official channels for the official results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the resolution date. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of either Alec Braund or Ryuichiro Nakano would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions during the competition could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, any public statements or analyses from experts regarding the likely outcome of the matchup could sway trader sentiment and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the dynamics of this market.