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M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls
polymarket

What is the result of Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls?

Volume:
N/A

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls

 - Polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
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N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
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N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 1 Winner

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 2 Winner

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Total Sets: O/U 2.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 1 O/U 8.5

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 1 O/U 9.5

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 1 O/U 10.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 2 O/U 9.5

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set 2 O/U 10.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Match O/U 21.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Match O/U 22.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Match O/U 23.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Darcy Nicholls Set Handicap +/-1.5

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 13m
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Darcy Nicholls in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Darcy Nicholls. This market will resolve to 'Darcy Nicholls' if Darcy Nicholls advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Darcy Nicholls in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Darcy Nicholls. This market will resolve to 'Darcy Nicholls' if Darcy Nicholls advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the performance of traditional polls or expert analyses. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Darwin boxing match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of a specific outcome, as reflected in the share price.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Adrian Arcon and Darcy Nicholls, as declared by the relevant boxing commission or governing body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for updates on the event's completion and resolution timeline.

Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis of their strengths and weaknesses, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Polymarket could also be indicators of changing expectations leading up to the fight’s conclusion.