TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 11:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Cigarran and Karim Bennani in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Karim Bennani. This market will resolve to 'Karim Bennani' if Karim Bennani advances against Thiago Cigarran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Cigarran and Karim Bennani in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Karim Bennani. This market will resolve to 'Karim Bennani' if Karim Bennani advances against Thiago Cigarran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life cycle. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions on the players' chances. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Thiago Cigarran vs Karim Bennani tennis match in Casablanca. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning player. The outcome will be determined by the official score reported by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Public analysis from tennis experts and any pre-match interviews offering insights into player strategy or confidence levels might also move this market as traders react to new information.