TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Perfetti and Maximilian Figl in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Perfetti' if Noah Perfetti advances against Maximilian Figl. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Noah Perfetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Perfetti and Maximilian Figl in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Perfetti' if Noah Perfetti advances against Maximilian Figl. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Noah Perfetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to faster adjustments than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Casablanca match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates for Noah Perfetti or Maximilian Figl could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or head-to-head records between the players could influence predictions. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for informed trading in this market.