TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Jack Loge in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Jack Loge in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or if there's a strong conviction among traders about a particular outcome. It's a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more traders believe that outcome will occur; conversely, a price closer to 0 indicates a lower probability. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Casablanca match between Max Houkes and Jack Loge. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying trading opportunities.