TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Loge and Yaroslav Demin in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Jack Loge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Loge and Yaroslav Demin in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Jack Loge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and trade accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to news and information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from sportsbook lines. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Casablanca match between Jack Loge and Yaroslav Demin. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or the players' recent performance in other tournaments could contribute to shifts in market expectations. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026.