TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhao Zhao and Geun Jun Kim in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Geun Jun Kim. This market will resolve to 'Geun Jun Kim' if Geun Jun Kim advances against Zhao Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhao Zhao and Geun Jun Kim in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Geun Jun Kim. This market will resolve to 'Geun Jun Kim' if Geun Jun Kim advances against Zhao Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees the actual result of the fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Wuning MMA fight. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current price indicates the market's expectation of which fighter will win, with higher prices suggesting a greater perceived chance of victory.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning MMA fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. This includes determining the winner of the bout, and any official decision made regarding the fight's conclusion. The platform will then verify this information and finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before the fight takes place. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight classes or rule changes could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, any public analysis from MMA experts or changes in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks may influence trading activity on Polymarket, leading to price adjustments in this market as traders react to new information.