TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Weiwen Pan in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Weiwen Pan. This market will resolve to 'Weiwen Pan' if Weiwen Pan advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Weiwen Pan in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Weiwen Pan. This market will resolve to 'Weiwen Pan' if Weiwen Pan advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a large volume of traders participate. This is because they aggregate diverse perspectives and information. However, sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like house edge and risk management, which may lead to discrepancies. It’s important to note that these odds represent different risk assessments and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Tomida vs Pan match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Yuta Tomida and Weiwen Pan, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result that will trigger market settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updated rankings could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in market perception. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities surrounding the Tomida vs Pan match.