TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between YUKI KARATSU and Kazuki Nakajima in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'YUKI KARATSU' if YUKI KARATSU advances against Kazuki Nakajima. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against YUKI KARATSU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between YUKI KARATSU and Kazuki Nakajima in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'YUKI KARATSU' if YUKI KARATSU advances against Kazuki Nakajima. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against YUKI KARATSU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karatsu vs Nakajima match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategic approaches could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements, as others react to their signals. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.