TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 2:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuan Cheng Yang and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuan Cheng Yang and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information, differing interpretations, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to news or developments that might take sportsbooks longer to adjust to.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting as new information emerges and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning tennis match between Yuan Cheng Yang and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as a player securing an early lead or facing difficulties, will likely cause rapid adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.