TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 3:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenze Li and Xin Hu in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenze Li' if Wenze Li advances against Xin Hu. This market will resolve to 'Xin Hu' if Xin Hu advances against Wenze Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenze Li and Xin Hu in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenze Li' if Wenze Li advances against Xin Hu. This market will resolve to 'Xin Hu' if Xin Hu advances against Wenze Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or market inefficiencies. It's common to see this market and sportsbooks diverge, especially before significant events or news breaks. Comparing the two can highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of a specific result in the Wenze Li vs Xin Hu match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wenze Li vs Xin Hu match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the data against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or significant performance updates for Wenze Li or Xin Hu could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or strategic changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.