TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenze Li and TZU-YUAN TSENG in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenze Li' if Wenze Li advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Wenze Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenze Li and TZU-YUAN TSENG in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenze Li' if Wenze Li advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Wenze Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among bettors, and the potential for market manipulation, although Polymarket actively monitors for such activity. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value or mispricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery and the ease with which traders can enter or exit positions.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wenze Li vs Tzu-Yuan Tseng match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in related matches, or even commentary from analysts, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily move the market, although sustained price changes typically require broader shifts in sentiment. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.