TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 3:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between TZU-YUAN TSENG and Xiuyuan Ye in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between TZU-YUAN TSENG and Xiuyuan Ye in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and their own insights. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tseng vs Ye match as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also shift expectations. Furthermore, expert analysis and public opinion, if widely disseminated, may cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Major upsets or surprising performances during the match itself would likely lead to rapid price adjustments as the outcome becomes clearer. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.