TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryo Minakata and Shao Zhang in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryo Minakata' if Ryo Minakata advances against Shao Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Ryo Minakata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryo Minakata and Shao Zhang in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryo Minakata' if Ryo Minakata advances against Shao Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Ryo Minakata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ryo Minakata vs Shao Zhang match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Polymarket after the event has concluded and verification is complete.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, referee assignments, or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media discussions can contribute to shifts in perceived probabilities, leading to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.