TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuki Yamamoto and Xin Zhou in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuki Yamamoto and Xin Zhou in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting volumes. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and proprietary models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to more volatile or niche pricing. Traders should compare both sources for context but recognize that this market reflects Polymarket's community-driven pricing.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to set the odds. The current top-outcome chance displayed reflects the aggregated wisdom of Polymarket users, adjusting dynamically with each new trade. Volume of $4,727 over the last 24 hours shows how active betting is, and price shifts often follow key news or performance updates related to the players.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match outcome as reported by tennis authorities and reputable sports news outlets, ensuring an impartial and transparent resolution process for all participants on Polymarket.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market significantly before Sep 8, 2026. Strong performance in warm-up matches, media commentary, or betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Keep an eye on official tournament updates and any news affecting either player’s readiness, as these are the primary catalysts likely to change odds on Polymarket in the final days.