TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuki Yamamoto and Heimanarii Lai San in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Heimanarii Lai San. This market will resolve to 'Heimanarii Lai San' if Heimanarii Lai San advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuki Yamamoto and Heimanarii Lai San in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Heimanarii Lai San. This market will resolve to 'Heimanarii Lai San' if Heimanarii Lai San advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Wuning fight between Natsuki Yamamoto and Heimanarii Lai San. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on publicly available information and established sporting regulations. The final outcome will determine which shares payout at 1 USDC each.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public polls could sway opinions and lead to price adjustments. The closer we get to Sep 13, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely be to new information.