TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov: 4 or more total sets?
- Limitless
Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov: 4 or more total sets? - Limitless
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 4, 2026
Closed: Sep 3, 5:13 PM EST
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Limitless
Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov: 4 or more total sets?
M15 Wuning: Miles Jones vs Qian Sun Total Sets: O/U 2.5
M15 Wuning: Miles Jones vs Qian Sun Set Handicap +/-1.5
Description
This group centers around a tennis match between Miles Jones and Qian Sun in the M15 Wuning tournament. The markets focus on whether Miles Jones advances, whether the match is completed, and potentially the total number of sets played (though the Mensik/Rodionov market is extraneous).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: The markets have differing resolution criteria; Polymarket focuses on the winner of the Jones/Sun match, while Limitless asks about the total sets played in a separate match.Hero tip: Do not conflate the Polymarket and Limitless markets. They address different events and have independent resolution paths. Focus on the specific question each market is asking.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to either Miles Jones or Qian Sun based on who advances in the match, with specific rules for cancellations, defaults, and walkovers. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to 'Miles Jones' if Miles Jones advances against Qian Sun."
- limitless: Asks about the total number of sets played in the Mensik vs Rodionov match, resolving to YES if 4 or more sets are played. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 4."
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miles Jones and Qian Sun in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miles Jones' if Miles Jones advances against Qian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Qian Sun' if Qian Sun advances against Miles Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Jurij Rodionov in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 4. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many informed traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially when significant information isn’t widely known. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on standard outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes showing a different probability for a particular outcome than a sportsbook, given differing incentives and information access.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Limitless may differ due to variations in trader demographics, available volume, and platform-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different class of trader than Limitless, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, the 24-hour volume on each platform—currently $759—can influence price discovery. Different fee structures or liquidity provisions can also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors combine to create potentially distinct price signals for the Miles Jones vs Qian Sun match across the two platforms.
