TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlin Chen and Hao Duan in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlin Chen' if Junlin Chen advances against Hao Duan. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against Junlin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlin Chen and Hao Duan in the M15 Wuning, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlin Chen' if Junlin Chen advances against Hao Duan. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against Junlin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Wuning match between Junlin Chen and Hao Duan. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to payouts based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to this date to stay informed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Junlin Chen or Hao Duan, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their recent performance, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or broader developments in the sport, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected on Polymarket.