TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaesung Choe and Shijie Chen in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaesung Choe' if Jaesung Choe advances against Shijie Chen. This market will resolve to 'Shijie Chen' if Shijie Chen advances against Jaesung Choe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaesung Choe and Shijie Chen in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaesung Choe' if Jaesung Choe advances against Shijie Chen. This market will resolve to 'Shijie Chen' if Shijie Chen advances against Jaesung Choe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell shares based on their individual insights and information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Jaesung Choe and Shijie Chen. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public opinion about their chances, could also drive price fluctuations. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, might also play a role in how this market behaves.